Overview
- Mediators from Qatar and Pakistan said the first high‑level session in Switzerland concluded with progress on a roadmap to reach a final deal within 60 days and the establishment of a direct line of communication between Washington and Tehran.
- The mediators said both sides agreed measures to safeguard commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz which helped push Brent below $80 a barrel and ease global oil risk.
- Iran publicly said it had closed the Strait over the weekend while U.S. officials reported continued vessel traffic and tracking data showed fewer transits, leaving verification of any closure contested.
- Markets reacted cautiously with Asian equities rising and record highs in Japan and South Korea while U.S. futures were muted as investors shifted focus to Thursday’s U.S. PCE inflation report and its implications for Federal Reserve rate policy.
- The situation remains fragile because past drafts and competing statements have confused verification and any renewed regional fighting could quickly reverse market relief; the Strait of Hormuz carries a large share of seaborne oil so oil‑importing countries such as India could see tangible effects on inflation and trade flows.