Upper-Level Low Exits Central Montana, Winds and Storm Threats Persist
Rising temperatures are shifting mountain snow to rain and will fuel midweek disturbances that could produce isolated severe afternoon storms.
Overview
- The upper-level low moving out of central Montana will raise snow levels, end high-elevation mountain snow, and change remaining precipitation to rain as it tapers off.
- Strong gusty winds are expected to sweep into eastern Montana with peak gusts around 30 to 40 mph and periodic gusts over 20 mph elsewhere.
- Seasonable warming into the 70s and 80s will increase atmospheric instability and support daily afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances through midweek.
- A series of midweek shortwave disturbances could produce isolated severe storms with damaging winds, large hail, and rare tornadoes though exact timing and locations remain uncertain.
- Forecasts lean toward a milder, more stable holiday weekend with late-week conditions most unsettled and residents advised to stay weather aware for rapidly changing storms earlier in the week.