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Updated COVID Vaccine Linked to Lower Risk of Major Heart Events in Large VA Study

New observational evidence points to fewer COVID-triggered heart attacks and strokes that requires cautious interpretation

Overview

  • A JAMA Internal Medicine analysis of VA electronic health records published in mid-June examined 1,039,659 veterans and found receipt of the 2024–2025 COVID vaccine was associated with about a 38% lower risk of COVID‑associated major adverse cardiovascular events, a category that includes heart attack, stroke, cardiovascular death, and hospitalization for heart failure.
  • The study also found an unexpected near 24% reduction in all‑cause major cardiac events without a documented COVID diagnosis, and investigators say unrecognized or untested SARS‑CoV‑2 infections could explain some of that larger effect.
  • In absolute terms the benefit was small for individuals: researchers estimated COVID‑linked MACE fell from about 5 events per 10,000 people to about 3 per 10,000 over eight months, and authors calculated that, if causal, this might prevent thousands of cardiac events and deaths per 1 million people each year.
  • Separate mid‑June analyses from CDC‑led U.S. researchers and a European study reinforce protection against severe illness, reporting roughly 41% effectiveness against critical COVID illness in adults and about 55% protection from symptomatic disease in older Europeans in the months after vaccination.
  • All studies are observational and limited by changing testing practices, population immunity, and the VA cohort’s demographics, and experts note low uptake of updated shots among older adults represents a missed prevention opportunity even as randomized trials are urged to confirm causation and quantify net benefit.