Overview
- State Border Guard Service spokesperson Andrii Demchenko said on Sunday that border guards are not observing movement of equipment, weapons, or personnel in the immediate Belarus–Ukraine border area and no force buildup has been detected.
- Ukrainian intelligence reports that Russia is actively pressuring Belarus to take a more direct role in the war, a development Kyiv says increases the chance of a renewed attack from Belarusian soil.
- Officials say no large Russian infantry formations have been identified in Belarus and that Russian units there appear to be mainly logistics and support elements rather than strike groups.
- Border services recently detected two reconnaissance drones near Zhytomyr and Rivne regions and recorded a strike unmanned aerial vehicle whose flight path passed through Belarus, and Belarus announced joint training with Russia on combat use of nuclear weapons on May 18.
- Ukraine warns that Belarusian infrastructure and new logistics routes could let Russia deploy forces quickly if it chooses, so Kyiv is maintaining close monitoring and has ordered contingency planning while seeking international attention to the risk.