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UK GDP Edges Up 0.1% in December as Industrial Output Drops 0.9%

ONS figures show a fragile end to 2025, with quarterly growth undershooting forecasts.

Overview

  • Monthly GDP rose 0.1% in December 2025, matching market expectations after November was revised up to a 0.2% gain.
  • Industrial production fell 0.9% on the month in December, reversing a revised 1.3% increase in November and defying expectations for no change.
  • On an annual basis, industrial output slowed to 0.5% in December from 2.3% in November, below the 1.5% rise economists anticipated.
  • UK GDP grew 0.1% in the fourth quarter versus the prior three months, missing the 0.2% increase projected by FactSet.
  • For 2025 overall, the economy expanded 1.3%, the strongest since 2022 yet still modest given consumer caution and elevated borrowing costs.