Overview
- Forecast models covering April 28 to May 2 indicate a sharp split between a short warm spell and a burst of northerly wintry showers.
- ECMWF projections show 20–23C possible across southern and central England around April 29 to 30, with the warmest spots near London and the South East.
- GFS and WXCharts runs track snow bands pushing south from Scotland in the same window, with some outputs extending flurries to cities as far south as London and Birmingham.
- The Met Office long-range outlook keeps high pressure to the north, which can pull in colder air for a brief period with wintry showers in the north and east and overnight frost.
- Expect a marked north–south split, with reports of -3C nights in parts of Scotland versus near-20C days in southern England, which could swing daily needs from frost protection to sunscreen.