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UBA Poll Shows 62.8% Disapprove of Milei as Kicillof Leads in Hypothetical Runoff

Widespread economic pessimism erodes Milei's core support, signaling vulnerability in one-on-one contests.

Overview

  • The Universidad de Buenos Aires survey of 2,184 people found 62.8% disapprove of President Javier Milei and 37.2% approve.
  • In a hypothetical second round between Milei and Axel Kicillof, respondents favored Kicillof 48.2% to 39.3%, with 12% saying they would choose neither.
  • The poll, released on Wednesday, July 1, 2026, described June as the most challenging month for the government since Milei took office in 2023.
  • Economic ratings drive the shift: 60.6% of respondents called the national economy 'bad or very bad,' and negative views cut across multiple electorates.
  • La Libertad Avanza still leads space-based voting intention for 2027 at 32.0%, while the report flags a falling approval rate of 66.4% even among Milei's 2023 voters as a sign of wear.