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UAE to Leave OPEC and OPEC+ on May 1, Upending Oil Alliance

The move frees Abu Dhabi to use growing spare capacity outside cartel quotas.

Overview

  • The UAE, which announced the decision Tuesday through state media, will withdraw from both OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1.
  • Energy minister Suhail Mohamed al-Mazrouei called it a policy choice after a review of production strategy and said Abu Dhabi did not consult Saudi Arabia.
  • Brent crude jumped above $110 a barrel after Tuesday’s news as traders weighed supply risks and future production shifts.
  • Analysts say the exit removes one of OPEC’s few swing producers, reducing the group’s spare-capacity tool that works by holding back output to steady prices.
  • Officials say the UAE will raise production gradually in line with demand, noting near-term exports are constrained by attacks and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, while ADNOC is targeting about 5 million barrels a day of capacity by 2027.