Overview
- Forecasters expect a two‑wave setup Monday across the Midwest and Great Lakes with morning showers followed by a possible evening line after 6 p.m., especially near Chicago.
- The Storm Prediction Center and local offices cut parts of Wisconsin to a Slight (Level 2) risk after models showed midday rain eating away at instability, though damaging winds, large hail and an isolated tornado remain possible where skies clear.
- Morning activity carries a low severe chance, then any late storms should wind down by about 11 p.m., so have a way to get alerts through the evening.
- Heavy downpours Sunday dropped roughly 0.5 to over 3 inches in spots, which means new bursts of rain today could trigger brief, localized flooding in areas that already saw high water.
- The pattern turns hot later this week across the South with upper 80s to low 90s and sticky humidity, while New England stays quiet until a soaking rain Thursday and parts of Florida face extreme drought and high fire danger despite limited rain.