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yesterday

Two Republicans Lead California Governor’s Race in New Berkeley IGS Poll

The findings sharpen pressure on Democratic contenders to consolidate before the June 2 top-two primary.

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Steve Hilton (left) and Chad Bianco (right) gained most support from likely California voters as of March, according to a poll.
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Overview

  • UC Berkeley IGS/Los Angeles Times polling shows Steve Hilton at 17% and Chad Bianco at 16%, with Eric Swalwell and Katie Porter at 13% each and Tom Steyer at 10%.
  • The March 9–14 online survey included 5,019 registered voters (3,889 likely voters) and reports an overall margin of error of about ±2.5 percentage points.
  • Roughly 16% of likely voters remain undecided as Democrats divide support among many candidates, increasing the risk that two Republicans advance under California’s top-two system.
  • California Democratic Party Chair Rusty Hicks has urged lower-polling Democrats to reassess viability ahead of an April 15 marker, but most have qualified for the June 2 ballot and remain in the race, with only Ian Calderon withdrawing.
  • Affordability ranks as voters’ top issue overall, Republicans prioritize cutting waste and corruption, many candidates have low name recognition, and Steyer’s jump from about 1% in October to 10% is linked to heavy ad spending estimated at $40–$50 million.