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Two Republicans Could Top California’s Governor Primary as Democrats Split the Vote

The top-two primary can send two candidates from the same party to November in a crowded field.

Overview

  • Recent polls place Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco at or near the front of a packed field while leading Democrats cluster close together and many voters remain undecided.
  • The California Democratic Party is funding a series of public polls to pressure lower-polling Democrats to exit before vote-by-mail begins in early May.
  • If Democrats miss the top two, the November ballot would feature only Republicans with no write-in option for voters.
  • Political strategists say a Republican winner would likely face a swift recall effort bankrolled by wealthy donors or public‑employee unions, with some projecting it could launch within months.
  • The top-two system advances the highest two vote-getters regardless of party, a setup that produced a two-Republican runoff in Washington’s 2016 state treasurer race.