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Two Democrats Vie to Flip California’s Only Toss-Up House Seat

The June top-two primary will determine who faces long-time Republican Rep. David Valadao in a newly redrawn Central Valley district.

Overview

  • The primary contest is between moderate state Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains and progressive college professor Randy Villegas, each seeking the chance to challenge Rep. David Valadao in November.
  • The race is the state’s lone House toss-up after last year’s Proposition 50 redrew districts and flipped five Republican-held seats to Democratic-leaning.
  • California’s top-two primary means the two highest vote-getters move to November regardless of party, making this intra-Democrat fight critical if Democrats want a single unified challenger.
  • Both campaigns are focusing on ground outreach and local issues, with Villegas emphasizing neighborhood canvassing and social media and Bains holding local forums in places such as McFarland to address rising gang-related violence.
  • Valadao’s long incumbency in a district that now leans Democratic has drawn national attention and resources, and the primary outcome will shape who gets support and how parties allocate effort in November.