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TSMC Faces AI-Fueled Capacity Strain as Wall Street Lifts Targets Ahead of April 16 Earnings

Investors want clarity on whether the company will shift older chip lines to AI work.

Overview

  • TSMC, which reports earnings on April 16, is under pressure to ease shortages at its most advanced plants that make AI chips on 5nm and 3nm technology.
  • Citigroup raised its price target to NT$2,800 on March 30 and lifted profit forecasts through 2028 on stronger demand for AI hardware.
  • Bernstein increased its target to $351 on March 16 and kept an Outperform rating, citing broad demand that now extends beyond core AI processors.
  • Analysts describe two tracks in TSMC’s business, with high-margin AI chips constrained by capacity and slower legacy nodes like 28nm and 16nm potentially up for reallocation, a move the company has not confirmed.
  • Shares have climbed more than 130% over the past year, yet some investors remain cautious because tension around Taiwan could disrupt operations and key customer supply.