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Trump’s Job Disapproval Reaches 58.3% in Poll Aggregate

Rising fuel and grocery prices tied to the Iran conflict have eroded voter support, threatening Republican prospects in the 2026 midterms.

Overview

  • RealClearPolitics’ May 25 aggregate shows President Trump’s job disapproval at 58.3% and an unfavorable rating near 55.9%, driven by a run of recent national polls that each put disapproval at 55% or higher.
  • Several major surveys this month, including Fox News and Reuters/Ipsos, recorded disapproval readings above 60%, and the Economist/YouGov weekly found just 34% approve versus 59% who disapprove.
  • Analysts report the drop tracks to economic pain from the U.S.-Iran conflict and shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz that have pushed gas and grocery prices higher and worsened voters’ pocketbook views.
  • Data experts say the slump extends into Trump’s own base with net approval on inflation and fuel collapsing among Republican voters, a change that weakens core turnout and party cohesion.
  • Political analysts warn that sustained unpopularity at this level historically predicts significant midterm losses for the president’s party and could reshape the 2026 House and Senate battlegrounds.