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Trump's Gaza Recovery Plan Shrinks to Single Rafah Pilot Camp

Progress has stalled because of security conditions, slow donor funding, Israeli political timing, unresolved disarmament

Overview

  • The Board of Peace has quietly narrowed its January masterplan to a limited pilot camp near Rafah that would house tens of thousands in portable units under a Palestinian civil administration and an International Stabilization Force, the change reported Thursday.
  • Preparatory work on the Rafah site has not started though a small contingent of ISF officers from Morocco and Kosovo is in Israel and a logistics base near Kerem Shalom is close to completion.
  • Pledged donor money has not flowed: reports say the large headline pledges announced earlier this year have been slow to materialize and the World Bank had not received the funds as of early June.
  • The Board conditions wider reconstruction on disarmament and an agreed security architecture, a demand that remains politically blocked by ongoing Israeli operations, stalled talks with Hamas, and Palestinian objections to using withheld tax revenues.
  • Diplomats and officials say substantive progress is unlikely until after Israel’s October 27 election, a delay that leaves most of Gaza’s more than two million displaced people dependent on scarce humanitarian aid rather than broad rebuilding.