Overview
- Trump’s standing fell after Wednesday’s Fox News poll showed 41% approve and 59% disapprove, a record second‑term high for disapproval and a dip in GOP approval to 84%.
- Most Americans now reject the Iran campaign, with Fox at 42% support and 58% oppose and similar findings in Reuters/Ipsos and AP‑NORC that report majorities against the strikes.
- Nate Silver’s tracker estimates Trump’s net approval near minus 16.7, showing no rally‑around‑the‑flag bump since the U.S. strikes began on February 28.
- Independents have swung sharply negative, with Quinnipiac measuring 25% approval and 68% disapproval, even as MAGA Republicans remain strongly supportive in multiple surveys.
- Rising gas prices and cost‑of‑living worries linked to the conflict are fueling voter frustration, and analysts point to growing midterm risk for Republicans reflected in prediction markets.