Overview
- Several national polls released in late July and early August show President Trump’s approval clustered in the low-30s, with Quinnipiac at 32 percent, AP‑NORC at 33 percent, and CNN at 34 percent.
- Trump posted on Truth Social calling the surveys 'fake' and 'crooked,' touted unverified 'REAL Polling Numbers,' and listed policy achievements as evidence of stronger support.
- Republican operatives privately voiced alarm that the drop could fuel Democratic gains in the midterms but publicly said they expect the president to stick to his current rhetoric and strategy.
- Analysts link the approval slide in part to public opposition to the war with Iran and weaker ratings on pocketbook issues like gas and the economy, trends that reduce swing and moderate support.
- Even with the low ratings, experts note structural limits on seat swings — tighter district maps and polarization — but warn that historically low second‑term approval has often presaged midterm losses.