Overview
- On Truth Social President Trump dismissed mainstream surveys as 'fake' and posted unverified 'REAL Polling Numbers' while listing policy claims to justify higher support.
- Independent national polls from late July and early August show approval clustered in the low 30s, with Quinnipiac at 32%, CNN at 34%, AP-NORC at 33% and Economist/YouGov and others in the mid-30s.
- The Reuters/Ipsos survey released Aug. 3 found approval at 35% and showed Democrats edging Republicans on who would handle the economy better and leading the generic congressional ballot.
- CNN data analyst Harry Enten reported a steep drop in Trump support among moderate Republicans, saying that bloc’s net approval has collapsed and could hurt GOP candidates in swing districts.
- Poll averages and methods vary — some aggregates place approval nearer to 39% — but analysts say rising gas prices and economic worry tied to the Iran conflict are the clear drivers and pose a risk to the GOP’s narrow congressional majorities in November.