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Trump Marks One Year Underwater as Independents Hit Record Lows

The White House continues to brush off the numbers.

Overview

  • CNN’s Harry Enten says Trump has been net negative every day since March 12, 2025, and is about 38 points underwater with independents.
  • Multiple polls register majority opposition to the Iran campaign or his handling of it, including an Economist/YouGov finding of 39% approval and 52% disapproval.
  • An NPR/PBS News/Marist survey shows second‑term lows on core issues, with 35% approving his handling of the economy and 40% approving his handling of immigration.
  • Prediction markets now lean toward Democratic gains, with Kalshi pricing Democrats around 85% to win the House and the Senate essentially a toss‑up.
  • Fresh Economist/YouGov data shows Hispanic approval sliding from 40% to 28% in a week, with disapproval rising from 57% to 68%.