Overview
- President Donald Trump told Axios he is “solid 50/50” on signing a deal or ordering fresh strikes and said he would likely decide by Sunday after meetings with top envoys.
- Pakistan’s Field Marshal Asim Munir and Qatari mediators left Tehran on Saturday saying there was “encouraging progress” on a Pakistan‑prepared draft memorandum that would halt hostilities and open a 30–60 day window for fuller talks.
- A core impasse is Iran’s 440.9 kg stockpile of uranium enriched to 60%, which Iran’s leadership has ordered to remain inside the country and which Washington says must be ‘satisfactorily handled.’
- The White House has kept military options active while convening senior advisers and negotiators to review the draft, and U.S. naval pressure plus Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz raise the economic and security stakes of failure.
- If the memorandum is signed it would pause the war and defer detailed nuclear limits to later talks; if talks collapse a rapid resumption of strikes could widen regional disruption and further squeeze oil flows and trade.