Overview
- Multiple mid-July polls found President Trump’s overall approval at about 37 percent with roughly 59 to 61 percent disapproving, based on surveys conducted between July 8 and July 13.
- Majorities disapprove of his handling of the U.S. conflict with Iran, with some polls showing only about 29–33 percent approval for his conduct of the war and widespread expectation the fighting will continue.
- Voter views of the economy and inflation are sharply negative, with Ipsos data showing Trump roughly 47 to 50 points underwater on inflation approval and analysts warning those figures have historically damaged presidencies.
- The political fallout is visible in the polls, which show Democrats with a small lead on the generic congressional ballot and steep drops in support among independents and younger voters in battleground states.
- Public messaging is at odds with the data: the White House has claimed a 59 percent approval number that no major poll corroborates, and several surveys show the share of Americans who 'strongly approve' of Trump has fallen to record lows.