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Trump Approval Falls to New Term Low as Voters Rebuke Iran War and Higher Costs

The polls signal rising risk for Republicans in the 2026 midterms.

Overview

  • Trump’s approval, after Monday’s New York Times/Siena poll put it at 37%, registered 35% in a Tuesday Reuters/Ipsos survey, confirming a sustained second‑term slump.
  • About 64% of voters say going to war with Iran was the wrong call, and fewer than a quarter say the conflict has been worth its roughly $29 billion price tag reported to Congress.
  • Voters punish him on the cost of living, with inflation at 3.8% in April, average gas near $4.50 a gallon, and roughly 69% disapproving of his handling of prices in the Times/Siena poll.
  • Democrats hold a 50% to 39% edge on the generic congressional ballot in the Times/Siena survey, while 69% of independents disapprove of Trump’s job performance, signaling trouble for the GOP this November.
  • The Iran conflict has choked oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a corridor that carried about one‑fifth of global oil trade before the war, driving fuel costs higher for households.