Overview
- A cluster of national polls released this week from Quinnipiac, CNN, AP‑NORC and Reuters/Ipsos place President Trump’s approval in the low 30s, with Reuters/Ipsos reporting 35 percent.
- The Reuters/Ipsos survey, conducted July 29 through Aug. 3, found 37 percent of registered voters prefer Democrats on the economy versus 36 percent for Republicans and showed Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot 42 to 37 percent.
- On Monday Trump dismissed the results on Truth Social as 'fake' and posted what he called his 'REAL Polling Numbers,' listing several administration achievements that reporters note lack independent substantiation.
- Analysts and reporters link the approval slump and the loss of the GOP economic advantage to rising fuel prices and broader inflation pressures, with coverage noting gasoline has risen more than 25 percent since the Iran conflict intensified.
- Republican strategists are increasingly worried the trend could cost the party seats in November, though redistricting has reduced the number of truly competitive House races and most operatives do not expect Trump to alter his core strategy.