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Trump Administration Moves to Cut 2031 Fuel-Economy Target to 34.5 MPG

Federal projections point to higher long-term fuel spending that could outweigh any modest drop in upfront vehicle prices.

Overview

  • The proposal would replace the Biden-era path to roughly 50.4 mpg by 2031 with a 34.5 mpg fleetwide average for new light-duty vehicles.
  • NHTSA’s analysis projects about $35 billion in automaker compliance savings and roughly $930 lower average new-vehicle prices.
  • The same federal analysis forecasts roughly 100 billion more gallons of fuel burned through 2050, costing drivers up to $185 billion.
  • Ford and Stellantis chiefs publicly welcomed the move as better matching customer demand and near-term affordability.
  • Independent analysts and environmental groups say weaker rules would raise drivers’ lifetime fuel bills, slow EV adoption, and risk ceding ground to China’s dominant EV industry.