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Tropical Heat Set to Return with Strong Chance of Fifth Regional Heatwave

A midweek shift to warm southerly winds is forecast to push daytime temperatures into the low 30s and keep the region largely dry for about ten days, raising record and drought concerns.

Overview

  • A short, milder interval early in the week will give way to a rapid midweek rebound with models and forecasters calling for Thursday–Friday daytime highs locally around 30–35°C.
  • Meteorologists say there is a high probability of a fifth regional hittegolf this summer, a heatwave defined by KNMI as at least five consecutive days ≥25°C with at least three days >30°C at an official station.
  • Rain is unlikely to provide relief in the next roughly ten days according to current model guidance, though some forecasters flag a growing chance of showers by next weekend.
  • Immediate observations heighten concern: the North Sea measured a record 21.7°C near Lichteiland Goeree and Rotterdam The Hague Airport could tie or break its seasonal count of tropical days if forecasts verify.
  • Wednesday evening’s near‑total solar eclipse (maximum about 89% coverage) is expected to be widely visible under mostly clear skies and observers are urged to use proper eye protection.