Overview
- Official data show a sharp recent reversal: Profeco reported a 41.4% drop in the national average price per kilogram between the third week of May and the third week of June, and INEGI recorded a 23.98% fall in the first half of June, its largest quincenal decline in 56 quincenas.
- The federal government, producers and commercializers signed the Acuerdo Nacional on June 3 to order production, supply and commercialization, and authorities credit that pact with helping restore availability and pull prices down.
- Prices have eased across supermarkets and public markets but remain uneven by region and outlet, with supermarket saladet listings around 16.90–28.90 pesos/kg and Mexico City market stalls generally at 18–30 pesos/kg.
- Independent analysts from GCMA and reporting point to commercialization-stage distortions—higher margins in some autoservicios and retailers—as a major driver of earlier spike, not only production shortfalls from U.S. freezes and Mexican pest problems.
- The fall in tomato costs helped weigh on headline inflation in mid-June and offers immediate relief to household food budgets, and Profeco said it will continue weekly price monitoring through its Quién es Quién en los Precios tool.