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Tom Lee Says Bitcoin Close Above $76,000 in May Would End Bear Market

He frames the move as the start of a new cycle led by tokenized assets with AI agents moving money on blockchains.

Overview

  • Tom Lee, who spoke Thursday at Consensus 2026 in Miami, said a May close above $76,000 would confirm the bear market is over because it would mark three straight monthly gains.
  • Bitcoin traded near $80,000 in early May after closing April at $76,300 on CoinDesk’s index.
  • Lee pointed to veteran analyst John Bollinger, who said his trend model turned positive on Bitcoin this week.
  • Lee said tokenization, which moves real-world assets onto blockchains so they can trade and settle onchain, will be a main driver of the next bull market.
  • He cited rising use of stablecoins as proof the shift is underway, noting reported stablecoin transaction volumes have surpassed Visa’s payment totals.