Overview
- Polls two days before Sunday's election show the centre‑left with a slim, tightening lead while analysts say the race remains too close to call.
- Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has pledged that a right‑wing victory would include the Sweden Democrats in cabinet for the first time, a move he says is needed to build a stable majority.
- A late Expo investigation alleging that a Sweden Democrats parliamentary aide promoted pro‑Russian narratives has become a developing security issue and prompted party denials and internal leave by a senior SD official.
- If the Sweden Democrats join government, experts warn the result could harden migration rules, expand policing powers and raise concerns about civil liberties for refugees and minorities.
- Even if the centre‑left wins, party disagreements — especially between the Centre and Left parties — make post‑vote coalition building uncertain and could lead to lengthy negotiations or a minority government, all within the NATO‑membership context of broad support for Ukraine.