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Thunder Face Payroll Cliff as Holmgren Scrutiny and Trade Chatter Grow

Projected payroll above the NBA’s second apron raises the threat of heavy tax penalties that will sharply limit Oklahoma City’s roster moves.

Overview

  • The Thunder currently project roughly $260 million in 2026–27 payroll which would place them above the NBA’s second apron and trigger steep luxury-tax bills and rules that restrict trades, cash use, and roster flexibility.
  • GM Sam Presti has signaled he is not planning a wholesale purge and Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander publicly deferred personnel decisions to Presti, leaving front-office choices squarely in management’s hands.
  • Chet Holmgren’s Game 7 performance — he attempted two or fewer shots while playing over 30 minutes and finished with four points — has intensified public calls for a trade but multiple league insiders say the Thunder intend to keep the core trio.
  • Practical levers to get under the apron include declining or renegotiating team options for players such as Isaiah Hartenstein and Luguentz Dort, trading expendable role players, or accepting the tax consequences while preserving the core.
  • The loss to San Antonio exposed matchup and depth gaps against Victor Wembanyama and, combined with looming max extensions for Holmgren and Jalen Williams, makes this offseason a pivotal test of Presti’s long-term construction strategy and the players’ futures.