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The Mandalorian & Grogu Tracks For $71 Million U.S. Opening

A comparatively small $166 million budget lowers Disney’s risk on the franchise’s return to theaters.

Overview

  • Early tracking from Box Office Theory puts the domestic debut near $71 million, which would be the lowest Disney-era Star Wars opening below Solo’s $84.4 million.
  • The California Film Commission lists a $166 million production budget, making it the cheapest Star Wars movie of the Disney era.
  • The movie reaches theaters on May 22 as the series moves from Disney+ to the big screen for Star Wars’ first wide release since 2019.
  • Marketing has had a bumpy start, with a flat Super Bowl promo and a first trailer that drew weak buzz before a stronger follow-up.
  • Analysts say the lower cost and the brand’s value on Disney+ could still yield a solid overall return even if opening weekend lags past films.