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‘The Mandalorian and Grogu’ Tracking to a ~$80 Million Memorial Day Opening

The first Star Wars movie since 2019 is a key test of whether a Disney+ hit can pull audiences into theaters.

Overview

  • Industry tracking published Thursday pegs the four-day U.S. debut around $80 million, a range insiders say matches Disney and Lucasfilm’s expectations.
  • The film opens May 22 in North American theaters, with Star Wars Day on May 4 featuring IMAX showings of early footage to boost awareness before release.
  • An ~$80 million launch would trail most recent Star Wars debuts and land near or below 2018’s Solo over the same holiday frame.
  • The movie continues the Disney+ series and marks the first time a major Disney+ property is going fully theatrical, offering a real-world test of streaming-to-cinema demand.
  • Jon Favreau directs with Pedro Pascal starring alongside Sigourney Weaver and Jeremy Allen White, as Lucasfilm’s creative direction shifts under Dave Filoni following Kathleen Kennedy’s departure.