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Texas Pacific Land Jumps 50% in February as AI Data-Center Plan Gains Traction

Investors first reacted to rising oil prices, then to Bolt disclosures that point to new non-royalty revenue.

Overview

  • Shares surged 50.5% in February, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence.
  • Early-month gains tracked oil and gas price strength tied to escalating IranU.S. tensions and the Feb. 28 war, which lift TPL’s royalty income.
  • Fourth-quarter results showed revenue up 13.6% with EPS at $1.79 in line, while water sales represented 38% of 2025 revenue.
  • TPL disclosed a December investment in Bolt, led by Eric Schmidt, with management citing Bolt’s ambition to build up to 10 GW of data centers on TPL land and contractual rights for land-for-equity plus first refusal on water and associated power.
  • KeyBanc on Feb. 23 raised its price target to $639 and kept an Overweight rating, pointing to strength in water, progress in power generation and data-center prospects, and noting 2026 capex guidance of $65–$75 million with plans for water management, desalination and multi‑gigawatt energy campuses.