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Texas Coach Says He Wouldn’t Be Surprised If Arch Manning Stayed Beyond 2026

His $5.4 million NIL valuation reduces near-term financial pressure; Texas’s 2026 results will largely determine whether he enters the 2027 draft.

Overview

  • Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian told Kay Adams on Monday he “would not be surprised” if Arch Manning returned to Texas after the 2026 season instead of declaring for the 2027 NFL Draft.
  • ESPN draft analysts Matt Miller and Jordan Reid placed Manning atop their early 2027 quarterback board while PFSN analysts Ian Cummings and Jacob Infante instead name Oregon’s Dante Moore the early QB1.
  • Manning enters 2026 as a preseason Heisman contender after passing for 3,163 yards, with 26 touchdowns and seven interceptions last season and adding 399 rushing yards and 10 rushing TDs.
  • Reports say Manning has about a $5.4 million NIL valuation and multiple endorsement deals, a financial position that reduces the immediate need to turn pro and could encourage another college season.
  • The 2027 class is deep — including Dante Moore, Drew Mestemaker, CJ Carr and Darian Mensah — so Manning’s ultimate choice will hinge on his 2026 health, on-field development and Texas’s team success.