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Tesla’s FSD Supervised Fleet Tops 10 Billion Miles, Hitting Musk’s Data Target

Tesla now targets a late‑2026 consumer rollout for unsupervised driving.

Overview

  • Tesla said its Full Self-Driving (Supervised) system passed 10 billion miles, a driver-assist feature that still requires an attentive human driver.
  • The fleet is adding roughly 28.8 to 29 million miles each day, reflecting a sharp acceleration in data collection this year.
  • Musk set the 10 billion-mile threshold in January yet now expects any unsupervised release for customer cars no earlier than the fourth quarter of 2026.
  • Tesla reports one major crash every 5.3 million FSD miles versus one per 660,000 miles for the average U.S. driver, a comparison researchers dispute due to different crash-count methods and safer highway use.
  • Tesla’s Austin robotaxi program reported 14 crashes across about 800,000 miles to U.S. regulators, highlighting the gap between supervised driving in consumer cars and true driverless service.