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Tariff Revenue Drops for First Time Since April, Clouding Trump’s Funding Plans

The revenue setback undercuts fiscal promises tied to tariffs.

Overview

  • Treasury data show customs duties fell to $30.75 billion in November from $31.35 billion in October, the first month-over-month decline since the April rollout.
  • Analysts point to mid-November rollbacks on coffee, bananas and beef as well as weaker import volumes as key drivers of the dip.
  • Democrats on the Joint Economic Committee estimate consumers paid about $159 billion from February through November, or $1,198 per household, with 2026 costs projected near $2,100 if current rates hold.
  • The effective U.S. tariff rate has climbed to roughly 16.8%, the highest since 1935, and economists say the levies function as a tax that raises prices for households and businesses.
  • A Supreme Court ruling curbing the use of IEEPA could require refunds of up to about $168 billion, and receipts remain far below claims of “trillions,” complicating plans for $2,000 rebates, debt reduction and a $12 billion farm aid package.