Overview
- Democrat James Talarico announced three televised debates in the Rio Grande Valley, Dallas and Austin and said he accepted those dates and locations.
- Republican Ken Paxton’s campaign says he is willing to debate but has not agreed to Talarico’s proposed terms and is pressing for negotiated moderators and formats.
- A Fox News poll conducted July 23–27 shows a close contest with Talarico ahead by three points and relative strengths among independents, Hispanic voters and younger voters.
- Paxton’s long record of legal and ethical controversies has depressed some donor support and leaves national GOP groups weighing increased spending to close his fundraising gap.
- The outcome will likely hinge on debate performances, turnout among Hispanic, Black and independent voters, and how national party and outside groups deploy resources in the final months.