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Take-Two Pins Fiscal 2027 Outlook on Grand Theft Auto VI Launch

A strong launch would raise Take-Two's recurring revenue base.

Overview

  • Take-Two reconfirmed on its May earnings call that Grand Theft Auto VI is scheduled to release on Nov. 19, 2026 and said that timing underpins its FY2027 plan.
  • The company set FY2027 targets of $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion in net bookings and more than $1.0 billion in operating cash flow and tied those targets directly to GTA VI's performance.
  • Wall Street reacted positively with Morgan Stanley keeping an Overweight rating and a $280 price target and analysts showing a near-uniform bullish consensus based on the confirmed launch and pre-launch momentum.
  • Key risks remain unresolved and could change outcomes: retail price, PC release timing, the design of GTA VI’s online monetization, early player retention, and the execution of the upcoming marketing and pre-order plan.
  • Take-Two enters the launch year from a position of strength after FY2026 net bookings of $6.72 billion and a 29-title pipeline through FY2029, and a blockbuster GTA VI release could lift company cash flow and broader consumer spending in games.