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Swiss Poll Shows Narrow Lead for 10 Million Population Cap Ahead of June Vote

Rising support raises the stakes for Switzerland’s EU ties, labor supply, economy.

Overview

  • Support for the initiative reached 52% in a Tamedia/LeeWas survey of 16,176 people, published Wednesday after polling on April 22–23.
  • The proposal would cap permanent residents at 10 million before 2050 and require ending the EU free‑movement pact if needed to hold the line.
  • Switzerland has more than 9 million residents and over 27% are foreign nationals, and many hospitals, hotels, building sites and universities depend on these workers.
  • The federal government and major business groups oppose the plan, warning of harm to the economy and to relations with the European Union.
  • Voters will decide on June 14, and pollsters say opinions look volatile even as backing has risen from about 45% in early March, within a ±3 point margin.