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Swinney Sets 2028 Target for Second Scottish Independence Referendum as SNP Pushes for Holyrood Majority

The pledge raises the stakes of the May election by tying a clear date to the SNP’s claim that only a solo majority would unlock a new vote.

Overview

  • Swinney said a referendum could take place in 2028 and argued Scotland could become independent within 18 months of a Yes vote, citing the 2014 timetable as his model.
  • He framed an outright SNP majority as the mandate for that plan and linked independence to using Scotland’s energy wealth to cut household bills.
  • Opposition leaders attacked the focus on independence, with Conservatives warning an SNP majority would drive separation and Labour calling the pitch a distraction from public services.
  • Swinney repeated claims that Labour would seek a deal with Reform or Tory figures after the election, while Labour and Reform denied any such plan.
  • Recent polling reported in the coverage points to the SNP staying the largest party but short of a majority, which would leave any new referendum push dependent on post-election math and a UK Government that has rejected another vote.