Overview
- Preliminary totals after the vote on Sunday give the opposition bloc a wafer‑thin edge, roughly 175–176 seats versus about 173–174 for the right, with a gap near 0.4 percent or about 28,600–29,000 votes.
- The Social Democrats emerged as the largest single party with about 28 percent of the vote and roughly 99 seats in the provisional count.
- The Sweden Democrats fell to about 17.5–17.6 percent and lost roughly 11 seats compared with 2022, reversing their recent growth and changing coalition math on the right.
- Even if Andersson’s bloc keeps its narrow lead, forming a stable government will be hard because the Centre Party refuses to serve with the Left Party and other left‑wing partners differ on migration, taxes and nuclear power.
- Counting of advance and expatriate ballots, which historically tilt conservative, is due mid‑week and could delay final results while the shift toward tougher migration policy across parties suggests tactical voting and could shape policy choices in any new government.