Overview
- The National Foundation for American Policy projects 6.8 million fewer workers by 2028 and 15.7 million by 2035 under the administration’s combined legal and enforcement actions.
- The analysis estimates a $1.9 trillion hit to GDP from 2025–2028 and $12.1 trillion from 2025–2035, with federal debt rising by about $1.74 trillion over the decade, using CBO tools and excluding additional productivity losses from high‑skilled limits.
- Dallas Fed reporting finds hiring has become harder for Texas firms, with nearly half increasing hours, about 40% raising wages and benefits, a third recruiting more U.S. citizens and green‑card holders, and roughly a quarter investing in automation, software and AI.
- Policy drivers cited include suspending and reducing refugee admissions, a 2025 travel ban, ending Temporary Protected Status and humanitarian parole, and prohibiting international students from working on OPT and STEM OPT after completing coursework.
- The administration has set a goal of 1 million removals per year and disputes the study’s premise, while the Labor Department warns mass deportations could disrupt agriculture and push food prices higher.