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Study Finds Global Fertility Flip: Since 2024, Men Average Fewer Children Than Women

The study points to a growing male surplus with wide social and health risks.

Overview

  • A new PNAS study reports that in 2024 men began averaging fewer children than women worldwide.
  • A surplus of men of reproductive age drives the shift, fueled by lower male mortality and sex‑selective abortion in some countries.
  • Researchers project gaps up to about 20% in China and India, while many Sub‑Saharan African countries remain exceptions due to higher male death rates.
  • The team warns of more male childlessness and higher risks of violence and sexually transmitted infections, with incel and Manosphere networks and survey findings of regressive Gen‑Z attitudes adding concern.
  • Authors call for raising women’s status to deter sex‑selective abortion and for expanding schooling and jobs for single men to reduce social strain.