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Study Finds Californians Moving to Nearby States to Escape High Costs

Researchers link the outflow to steep housing costs that make homeownership easier outside California.

Overview

  • Media coverage Friday highlighted a California Policy Lab report that used 2016–2025 credit-bureau records to map where people moved and how their finances changed.
  • Leavers cut housing costs by about $672 a month and face home prices roughly 48% lower, which raises their odds of owning a home within seven years by about 48%.
  • Nevada is the top per-capita destination at a net 81 Californians per 10,000 residents each year, with Idaho, Oregon, and Arizona next, while Texas and Florida rank far lower.
  • Exits now come more often from higher-income neighborhoods, yet movers carry about $5,500 more student debt and have credit scores 17 points lower than nearby peers.
  • The report warns that continued departures could thin California’s tax base and lead to a loss of three to four U.S. House seats after the 2030 Census if the trend persists.