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Strategy Shares Rebound After Q4 Mark-to-Market Loss as Analysts Downplay Liquidity Risk

Analysts say the bitcoin-heavy company faces no forced sales under current structures.

Overview

  • Strategy holds 713,502 BTC acquired at an average cost of about $76,052 per coin, with a portfolio value fluctuating around the $50–$54 billion range at recent prices.
  • The company reported a $17.4 billion operating loss and roughly a $12.4–$12.6 billion net loss for Q4 2025, driven largely by non-cash fair-value accounting on bitcoin.
  • Management highlighted the absence of bitcoin-linked debt covenants, a $2.25 billion cash reserve, and about $8.2 billion of convertible debt, while analysts say true stress would require bitcoin near $8,000 for years.
  • After plunging about 17% Thursday to near $104–$105, MSTR bounced 18%–25% Friday to roughly $126–$133 as bitcoin recovered from lows near $60,000 to above $70,000.
  • Strategy has scaled its STRC preferred to roughly $3.4 billion with an 11.25% dividend and announced a Bitcoin Security Program focused on long-term quantum resilience.