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Stalemate in the Strait of Hormuz as Iran Seeks Military‑Ship Ban and U.S. Turns to Economic Pressure

Iran is proposing a temporary routing that would ban military vessels and attach reopening to ending regional wars, a step that could keep oil flows limited and raise risks of retaliation.

Overview

  • Friday marks six months since the U.S.-Iran war began and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen from about 130 daily transits before the conflict to only a handful of vessels today.
  • Iran told mediators it is negotiating with Oman for a temporary corridor that would bar military ships and route commercial traffic through Iranian and partly Omani waters.
  • The United States says CENTCOM cleared mines and helped about 1,500 escorted transits, but independent trackers report far fewer crossings and recent tanker strikes show the route remains dangerous.
  • The White House has launched an 'economic D-Day' campaign of secondary sanctions to choke Iran’s trade while Tehran says it will retaliate against U.S. economic targets if blockades continue.
  • Commercial actors are using a 'shadow fleet' of transponder-silent sailings, ship-to-ship transfers and alternative Gulf of Oman terminals to keep oil moving, a practice that raises legal risk and endangers crews.