Overview
- Sharp Football Analysis published July 20 shows Matthew Stafford led the NFL in expected points added per dropback when trailing in the second half at +0.45, a metric that measures how plays change a team’s expected scoring.
- Stafford’s 2025 second‑half numbers were markedly better than his first half, with sources reporting that he completed about 65% of second‑half passes and threw most of his touchdown passes after halftime.
- Sharp’s data also says the Rams ran a league‑record 331 plays with three tight ends in 2025, reflecting a midseason shift to heavier tight‑end personnel that changed matchups and play design.
- In the 2026 offseason the Rams added pass rusher Myles Garrett and cornerback Trent McDuffie, and Stafford has reported feeling healthy after a 2025 back issue, moves that could reduce the frequency of comeback situations.
- The key things to watch for 2026 are how the Rams balance 11‑ and 13‑personnel, who emerges as the third receiver behind Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, and whether the tight‑end scheme or improved defense changes game scripts and Stafford’s late‑game duties.