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Spring Storm Threat Builds Across Plains and Midwest as SPC Raises Early-Week Risk

Forecasters flag a conditional severe-weather window early this week driven by warm, moist air.

Overview

  • Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms persisted Sunday across several regions, including the Plains, the Midwest and California’s Central Coast.
  • The Storm Prediction Center places parts of the central U.S. at a Marginal risk Monday and a Slight risk Tuesday, which indicate limited to modest chances for organized severe storms.
  • Damaging wind gusts from 30 to 60 mph and large hail are the main threats, with a low but nonzero tornado risk where storms can form.
  • Oklahoma, southeast Wisconsin, Kansas City and Metro Detroit carry the more likely early‑week storm chances, though a warm upper‑level cap could suppress development and shift timing and placement.
  • Secondary hazards include a Winter Weather Advisory for mountain snow in Ventura and Santa Barbara counties and elevated fire weather around Denver under warm, dry and breezy conditions.