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Spring Energy Cap Cut to £1,641 as Forecasts Point to a July Rebound Near £1,929

Analysts now expect a summer rise driven by wholesale costs linked to the Middle East conflict.

Overview

  • Ofgem’s quarterly price cap, which limits unit prices for a typical home, took effect on April 1 at £1,641 for April to June, and ministers say this lower level holds through the end of June.
  • Cornwall Insight forecasts the cap will rise to about £1,929 from July, an increase of roughly £288 a year or £24 a month for a typical dual‑fuel household.
  • Experts tie the projected rise to higher wholesale oil and gas costs connected to the Iran war, with a warning that sustained prices could push the October cap higher.
  • The government says it could step in if needed, while campaigners urge targeted help using windfall‑tax receipts and point people to local Crisis and Resilience Fund support.
  • Households can trim bills by paying by direct debit, which Ofgem data shows is about £131 a year cheaper than paying on receipt, and suppliers must offer support such as payment plans.