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SPC Warns of Multi‑Day Severe Weather for Central U.S. Starting Sunday

A deepening Plains low plus Gulf moisture create conditions for long‑lived supercells and a nighttime tornado risk.

Overview

  • Forecasts point to multiple rounds of severe storms from Sunday through Tuesday across the Central U.S., with threats that include very large hail, damaging winds, heavy rain and tornadoes.
  • The Storm Prediction Center outlines a Level 2 (Slight) to Level 3 (Enhanced) risk Sunday night, centered from South Dakota and Minnesota into Iowa and Nebraska, shifting into Kansas, eastern Nebraska and western Iowa on Monday.
  • Forecasters expect discrete supercells capable of hail near 3 inches and a stronger tornado risk after sunset, while repeated storms could drop 1 to 2 inches of rain by Tuesday with localized 2 to 3 inch amounts.
  • Minnesota’s Weather Authority issued a Forecast First alert for Sunday evening into Monday, noting the greatest concern after 7 p.m. Sunday and cautioning that Sunday night storms could shape Monday’s intensity and timing.
  • Heat and rising humidity will help fuel storms in the Plains and Midwest, and separate forecasts in the Northeast flag Wednesday as an impact day for scattered strong to severe storms as a front taps that warmth.