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SpaceX’s Record IPO Fuels Wild Stock Swings, Wall Street Bull Rush and Bond-Market Doubt

Wall Street’s upbeat price targets clash with cautious bond pricing, a mix that is helping spark fresh fundraising moves by rivals.

Overview

  • The company’s IPO, priced on June 12, raised roughly $86 billion and put SpaceX’s market value between about $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion while floating only a small share of total equity.
  • Trading has been volatile since the debut with the stock sliding below its IPO opening and trading in the roughly $149–$160 range after an early rally and sharp one-day reversals.
  • When the IPO quiet period ended this week, more than a dozen banks issued mostly bullish initiations that produced a median 12‑month price target near $250 and a wide spread of forecasts from about $131 to $800.
  • Credit markets are more guarded as SpaceX’s bonds trade at spreads consistent with BB/high‑yield, reflecting roughly $29 billion of long‑term debt and signaling concern about large future capital needs.
  • Rivals are reacting to the new public-market landscape with Blue Origin launching a roughly $10 billion outside funding round at a reported $130 billion pre‑money valuation, a move tied to both SpaceX’s recent capital haul and Blue Origin’s own test setbacks.