Overview
- SpaceX reported Q2 revenue of about $7.8 billion and a big adjusted EBITDA beat, news that helped trigger the recent multi‑day rally.
- The company disclosed roughly $18.4 billion of Q2 capital spending with about $15.8 billion tied to AI infrastructure, a scale that drove both investor concern and bullish reassessment.
- Argus Research upgraded SPCX to Buy with a $160 target citing management comments and company data that some AI compute investments are returning cash in under a year.
- The first post‑IPO lockup tranche of roughly 911.5 million shares became eligible in early August and the market absorbed that supply without heavy insider selling, helping lift the stock over the past sessions.
- Key near‑term risks include continued very high AI capex, execution on Starship and compute projects, and further staged lockup expirations that could increase tradable supply and amplify price swings.